Baojie WANG, Wei YANG, Ziyao LIU, Guohua LIANG

In China and other developing countries, some bicycle riders exhibit retrograde behaviour, which affects the riding safety of normal cyclists. The effect of retrograde behaviour on visual search and cycling behaviours of normal cyclists is investigated and quantified in this study. First, cyclists are instructed to wear an SMI iView ETG head-mounted mobile eye tracker and a mobile phone equipped with a Global Positioning System real-time location monitoring function to cycle on a road to obtain the times of fixation, saccade and blink, as well as the pupil diameter, gaze position and velocity in normal and retrograde conditions. Subsequently, the effect of retrograde behaviour on the attention of normal cyclists is analysed using three indexes: proportion of fixation time, coefficient of variation of pupil diameter and area of interest. Then, the effect of cycling behaviour is analysed using three indexes: the cycling trajectory, the velocity at three stages and the coefficient of variation of velocity. Finally, polynomial regression analysis is performed to analyse the visual and cycling behaviour impact indexes under the retrograde condition. The results show that retrograde behaviour significantly affects the vision and cycling behaviour of normal cyclists and that the two indexes are positively correlated.

2024 (Vol 36), Issue 5

Meng ZHANG, Hua GUO, Jing-yang LI, Li LI, Feng ZHU

Low temperatures and icing in winter are significant factors that severely affect highway safety and traffic mobility. To enhance the precision and reliability of real-time winter road surface temperature (RST) prediction, a short-term prediction model is developed that harnesses both feature selection and deep learning. Leveraging meteorological data from a mountain highway in Yunnan, China, the key environmental variables affecting road surface temperature were first extracted using a random forest (RF) model for feature selection. These features were then combined with RST data to construct multiple groups of input variable combinations for the prediction model. A short-term prediction model with a 10-minute update frequency was built using a long short-term memory neural network (LSTM), namely RF-LSTM. The best input variable combination and preset parameters for the prediction model were determined through comparative testing with prevalent machine learning models, and the transferability of the prediction model was verified. The results showed that the best input variable combination for the RF-LSTM prediction model was road surface temperature and air temperature. The model recognised that the short-term RST was affected by long and short-term memory characteristics within a two-hour timeframe. When compared to the RF model, backpropagation (BP) neural network model and the standard LSTM model, the proposed model reduces prediction errors by 59.15%, 31.10% and 20.26%, respectively, while the prediction accuracy is 99.13% within an error margin of ±0.5℃. On the verification dataset, the proposed model maintains its time transferability with an average prediction absolute error of 0.0478. In all, the proposed model not only achieves a higher level of precision in real-time RST predictions but also ensures a more consistent and reliable performance under the challenging conditions of high altitude and mountainous terrain, offering enhanced support for traffic safety and road maintenance decision-making.

2024 (Vol 36), Issue 5

Fei-Hui HUANG

This study investigates the factors that drive users to sustain their usage of shared electric scooter (e-scooter) services in Taiwan, distinguishing itself from the conventional focus on predicting consumers’ initial adoption and behavioural intentions. It employs subjective rating questions, incorporating constructs related to user acceptance, attitudes and user experience (UX). Through hierarchical regression analysis of quantitative survey data, the study identifies key factors such as users’ modes of transportation, environmental attitudes, acceptance of shared services, attitudes towards private scooters, UX, total usage instances and age. However, reliance on private scooters as a mode of transportation and frequent usage of shared e-scooters negatively impact the sustained usage of these services. The research further highlights early development challenges in shared vehicle services, including concerns over personal data security, user-unfriendly system designs, lack of convenience, inadequate parking infrastructure and ineffective financial incentives. Based on these findings, the study provides recommendations for service providers and government entities to enhance service design and proactively address these challenges. Implementing these recommendations is expected to mitigate the impact of these challenges and potentially improve user acceptance, UX, and the overall sustainability of shared vehicle services.

2024 (Vol 36), Issue 5

Milivoje ILIĆ, Đorđe MAKSIMOVIĆ, Norbert PAVLOVIĆ, Ivan BELOŠEVIĆ

The concept of risk analysis is especially important because it examines and analyses in a detailed manner the factors that affect the normal functioning of a system. In this paper, the level crossing is considered as one system, composed of several elements. The failures of those elements were analysed with the aim of showing which are the most frequent and most critical failures. A multi-methodological approach was used in the analysis. The failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA) method was used to determine risk factors, after that a multi-criteria model was created in a fuzzy environment, and as output, it gave a ranking list of critical failures in the system. Through the discussion of the results, a comparison of the basic model with two other similar ones was made, and the comparative results were analysed. The main aim of this paper is to present one of the possible ways to analyse the risk of the system of level crossings with the aim of improving traffic safety at the crossing.

2024 (Vol 36), Issue 5

Xuelong ZHENG, Xuemei CHEN, Yaohan JIA

Vehicle trajectory prediction plays a critical role before the decision planning of autonomous vehicles in complex and dynamic traffic environments. It helps autonomous vehicles better understand the traffic environments and ensure safe and efficient tasks. In this study, a hierarchical trajectory prediction method is proposed. The graph attention network (GAT) model was selected to estimate the interactions of surrounding vehicles. Considering the behaviour of surrounding agents, the future trajectory of the target vehicle is predicted based on the long short-term memory network (LSTM). The model has been validated in real traffic environments. By comparing the accuracy and real-time performance of target vehicle trajectory prediction, the proposed model is superior to the traditional single trajectory prediction model. The results of this study will provide new modelling ideas and a theoretical basis for the vehicle trajectory prediction in urban traffic environments.

2024 (Vol 36), Issue 5

Minghao LI, Yi ZHAO, Jianxiao MA, Yuxin CHEN, Shuo HUAI

This study investigates the overtaking lane-changing (OLC) behaviour in expressway interchange weaving areas, aiming to analyse these behaviours’ causes and potential impacts. Field data are utilised to analyse the statistical characteristics of lane-changing points and spatio-temporal utilisation in weaving areas. A modified NS model, which considers the distribution pattern of vehicle speeds, and a rigid lane-changing rule based on Gaussian distribution are proposed. Additionally, a cellular automaton simulation model is constructed to quantify the influence of OLC behaviour on traffic efficiency and spatio-temporal utilisation based on simulated data. The findings indicate that the imbalanced distribution of lane-changing points and spatio-temporal utilisation in weaving segments, caused by rigid lane-changing behaviour, is an objective factor that triggers OLC behaviour. When the traffic volume in weaving areas ranges from 500 to 1,100 pcu/5 min and the proportion of OLC behaviour is between 0.35 and 0.7, the behaviour will significantly enhance the average vehicle speeds of the outermost lane of the main road and normal rigid lane-changing (NRLC) vehicles, with increases of up to 48% and 51%, respectively. Moreover, OLC behaviour also improves the balance of spatio-temporal utilisation in weaving areas and reduces the average spatio-temporal utilisation. This study clarifies the positive impact of OLC behaviour on expressway interchange weaving areas and provides new research ideas for enhancing the efficiency of these areas.

2024 (Vol 36), Issue 5