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Promet - Traffic&Transportation journal

Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

Accelerating Discoveries in Traffic Science

Articles

Vol. 31 No. 6 (2019)
Published on 30.12.2019

Krešimir Vidović, Marko Šoštarić, Damir Budimir
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

The urban mobility is affected by global trends resulting in a growing passenger and freight transport demand. In order to improve the understanding of urban mobility in general, to evaluate mobility services and to quantify the overall transport system performance, it is necessary to assess urban mobility. Urban mobility assessment requires the application of methodology integrating different metrics and explicitly applying a multi-dimensional approach. Since scientific community does not define urban mobility in an unambiguous way, part of this paper is devoted to the analysis of the definition of urban mobility. This step enables better understanding of urban mobility in general, as well as understanding of the urban mobility assessment process. Usually, a three-layered approach that includes urban mobility data, indicators and indices is used for the assessment. Therefore, the aim of this paper was to perform extensive research in order to synthesize, define and organize the elements of those layers. The existing urban mobility indicators and indices have been developed for specific urban areas, taking into account local specifications, and they are not applicable in other cities. Also, the choice of urban mobility indicators is mainly related to the existence of data sources, which limits the objective and comparable assessment of the mobility of cities where such data do not exist.


Yanyan Qin, Hao Wang, Quan Chen, Bin Ran
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

With the aim of mitigating traffic oscillations, this paper extends a car-following model for Connected Cruise Control (CCC) systems by considering electronic throttle angles of multiple cars ahead. The linear stability condition of the proposed model is derived and numerical simulations are performed. It has been found that the proposed model is prominently better than the previous model, i.e. full velocity difference model, from the perspective of mitigating traffic oscillations. Additionally, the proposed model can also reduce fuel consumption, emissions, i.e. CO, HC and NOX, safety risk, and improve driving comfort at the same time. Simulation results suggest that the CCC car-following control design should consider the effect of multiple electronic throttle angles from the preceding cars.


Siyuan Zhang, Shijun Yu, Shejun Deng, Qinghui Nie, Pengpeng Zhang, Chen Chen
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

Bike-and-Ride (B&R) has long been considered as an effective way to deal with urbanization-related issues such as traffic congestion, emissions, equality, etc. Although there are some studies focused on the B&R demand forecast, the influencing factors from previous studies have been excluded from those forecasting methods. To fill this gap, this paper proposes a new B&R demand forecast model considering the influencing factors as dynamic rather than fixed ones to reach higher forecasting accuracy. This model is tested in a theoretical network to validate the feasibility and effectiveness and the results show that the generalised cost does have an effect on the demand for the B&R system.


Gizem Temelcan, Hale Gonce Kocken, Inci Albayrak
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

This paper focuses on converting the system optimum traffic assignment problem (SO-TAP) to system optimum fuzzy traffic assignment problem (SO-FTAP). The SO-TAP aims to minimize the total system travel time on road network between the specified origin and destination points. Link travel time is taken as a linear function of fuzzy link flow; thus each link travel time is constructed as a triangular fuzzy number. The objective function is expressed in terms of link flows and link travel times in a non-linear form while satisfying the flow conservation constraints. The parameters of the problem are path lengths, number of lanes, average speed of a vehicle, vehicle length, clearance, spacing, link capacity and free flow travel time. Considering a road network, the path lengths and number of lanes are taken as crisp numbers. The average speed of a vehicle and vehicle length are imprecise in nature, so these are taken as triangular fuzzy numbers. Since the remaining parameters, that are clearance, spacing, link capacity and free flow travel time are determined by the average speed of a vehicle and vehicle length, they will be triangular fuzzy numbers. Finally, the original SO-TAP is converted to a fuzzy quadratic programming (FQP) problem, and it is solved using an existing approach from literature. A numerical experiment is illustrated.


Jing Shi, Dandan Peng, Yao Xiao
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

The motivation of this research is to explore the contributing factors of driving distraction and compare the contributing factors for three typical distracted driving behaviours: drinking water, answering a phone and using mobile phone application (APP) while driving. An online survey including a driving behaviour scale and the Theory of Planned Behaviour Questionnaire (TPB Questionnaire) was conducted to obtain data related to these driving distractions. An integral structural equation model based on the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) was established to explain the factors causing three typical distracted behaviours, and the causes of differences for three typical distracted behaviours were compared. The result shows that the attitudes and perceived behaviour control are the main factors causing distracted behaviours, and the subjective norm has a significant impact on answering a phone while driving. The occurrence of a distracted driving behaviour is the consequence of behaviour intention and perceived behaviour control. These conclusions provide insights for implementing behaviour modification and traffic laws education.


Meisam Siamidoudaran, Ersun İşçioğlu
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

This paper focuses on predicting injury severity of a driver or rider by applying multi-layer perceptron (MLP), support vector machine (SVM), and a hybrid MLP-SVM method. By correlating the injury severity results and the influences that support their creation, this study was able to determine the key influences affecting the injury severity. The result indicated that the vehicle type, vehicle manoeuvre, lack of necessary crossing facilities for cyclists, 1st point of impact, and junction actions had a greater effect on the likelihood of injury severity. Following this indication, by maximising the prediction accuracies, a comparison between the models was made through exerting the most sensitive predictors in order to evaluate the models’ performance against each other. The outcomes specified that the proposed hybrid model achieved a significant improvement in terms of prediction accuracy compared with other models.


Svetla Dimitrova Stoilova
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

The Balkan region has an important geostrategic position in passenger and freight transport between Europe and Asia. This paper studies the development of railway transport on twelve different railway transport markets in the Balkan region. The methodology is based on multi-criteria assessment of the level of railway development. The approach presented in this paper could help railway companies to make decisions about railway transport services. The methodology includes three steps. In the first step, the quantitative and qualitative criteria for the evaluation of the social, economic, infrastructural and technological impact of the level of development of railway transport have been defined. In the second step, the weights of criteria have been determined using both objective and subjective approaches by applying the Shannon Entropy method and the Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) method. The third step presents the ranking of the countries by applying three multi-criteria methods – VIse Kriterijumska Optimizacija i kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR), Weighted Aggregated Sum Product Assessment (WASPAS) and Preference Ranking Organization Method for Enrichment Evaluation (PROMETHEE), which are different in their approaches. The results show that the criteria: maximum train technical speed (13%), ERTMS Level (10%), number of train kilometres per year (9%) and Ro-La intermodal service (9%) have a great importance in the ranking. It was found that the most developed railway transports in the Balkan region are Turkey, Croatia, Slovenia, and Romania.


Cezary Mankowski, Dariusz Weiland, Borna Abramović
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

From the regional development point of view new investments are always of great importance as they are mainly expected to boost the regional economy and thus improve the living standard of inhabitants. Also for the literature purposes a new case study on the impact of investments on regional development can be perceived as an added value to the state of the art and thus worthy to be explored. In this research the impact is measured in the following aspects: social, economic, innovation, and environmental, which stand also for the main assessment criteria. Just recently, an opportunity has appeared to explore this subject on the Pomeranian Metropolitan Railway (PMR), which started its operations on 1st September 2015, after five years of construction works and more than a 100-year long history. Thus, the paper presents the impact results of PMR on the development of the Pomeranian region, in the form of qualitative as well as quantitative assessments in the four aspects and on different levels of detail. The final conclusion states that the impact of PMR on the regional development has appeared to be negative in 33% and positive in 67%.


Ankit Bansal, Tripta Goyal, Umesh Sharma
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

Pedestrian crossing speed is the key element in the design of pedestrian facilities. It depends on various attributes related to road, traffic and pedestrians. In this paper, an attempt has been made to explore the variation, examine the influencing factors and formulate a model for the pedestrian crossing speed at signalised intersection crosswalks. The data have been collected using video graphic technique at 16 signalised crosswalks of the Chandigarh city. The findings reveal that a 15th percentile crossing speed (1.11-1.31 m/s) exceeds the design crossing speed of 0.95 m/s. It is also higher than the crossing speed of 1.2 m/s, usually being prescribed and adopted in the developed countries. The statistical analysis indicates no significant difference in the percentile crossing speeds between males and females. However, the variation exists among different age groups, group sizes, and crossing patterns. The correlation analysis depicts that the pedestrian crossing speed has significant negative correlation with the crosswalk width, the crosswalk length, the width of the pedestrian island, the classification of road, average traffic flow and average pedestrian delay, whereas the availability of separate bicycle paths at intersections is positively correlated. Furthermore, the stepwise regression model with 70.1 percent accuracy reveals that the crosswalk width, the width of the pedestrian island and the average pedestrian delay play a predominant role in determining the pedestrian crossing speed. The authors propose the usage of the developed model for setting out the standards for the appropriate design crossing speed for different crosswalks having similar geometric and traffic conditions as that of the study area.


Weidong Li, Olli-Pekka Hilmola, Jianhong Wu
2019 (Vol 31), Issue 6

High-speed railway (HSR) network building was initiated in China in the early 2000s, and full-scale construction began several years later as a larger use phase started in 2008. Thereafter, the expansion speed has been impressive. Network investment could be considered as a success, if evaluating the amount of high-speed railway usage already during the expansion phase. The diffusion models built in this research show that expansion in the network and growth of the passengers will continue at least until the following decade. The performance is evaluated in terms of DEA efficiency model. It is shown that efficiency started from very low levels, but it has been increasing together with the expansion of HSR network. Currently, the efficiency is near the level of the leading European High-speed (HS) countries (Germany and France). However, it is projected with linear model and by Bass diffusion models that the efficiency will reach Japanese and South Korean standards in the next decade. A somewhat larger network length with smaller relative growth of passengers, but with a higher growth of passenger-km seems to be able to reach even the frontier efficiency.



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